Real-Time Financial News | 24/7 Market Updates

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2026-11-04 Wednesday

2026-11-06

21:38:03

US unleaded gasoline futures just broke through the $2.8800/gallon mark, last trading at $2.8792/gallon, down 1.92% on the day; Brent crude oil futures just touched the $101.00/barrel mark, last trading at $101.00/barrel, down 3.22% on the day.

21:37:53

The most active liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) futures contract fell 4.03% intraday, closing at 7097 yuan/ton.

21:35:46

The U.S. Treasury Department is scheduled to auction $58 billion in three-year Treasury notes on November 9. The Treasury Department removed the word "at least" from its guidelines on maintaining a stable auction size.

21:35:31

[Joint Briefing on the First China-Canada Energy Ministerial Dialogue] To implement the important consensus reached by the leaders of the two countries and promote exchanges and cooperation in the energy sector, Wang Hongzhi, Director of the National Energy Administration of China, and Tim Hodgson, Minister of Energy and Natural Resources of Canada, jointly held the first China-Canada Energy Ministerial Dialogue via video conference on November 4 (November 3, Ottawa time). According to the talks, both sides agreed to further strengthen exchanges and cooperation in traditional energy, renewable energy, civilian nuclear energy, and uranium resources. Both sides encouraged energy companies from both countries to strengthen communication and exchanges, leverage their respective advantages, and actively explore opportunities for energy trade, technology exchange, investment, and project cooperation to achieve mutual benefit and win-win results. China thanked Canada for its positive support for energy cooperation during the 2026 APEC China Year. Both sides agreed to continue strengthening communication and coordination on energy issues within a multilateral framework, making positive contributions to global energy security and energy transition. (National Energy Administration)

21:33:54

Citigroup: Gold prices have limited downside potential from current levels, with a downside target of $3,500/oz. The target price for gold over the next 0-3 months is $4,500/oz, and over the next 6-12 months it is $5,000/oz.

21:32:37

US imports in September (in billions of US dollars)

Previous : 4208 Forecast : -

Published Value 4266

21:32:00

US exports in September (in billions of US dollars)

Previous : 3152 Forecast : -

Published Value 3215

21:31:46

Canada's total reserve assets in October (in US dollars)

Previous : 1252.88 Forecast : -

Published Value 1261.61

21:30:08

[Trump Cancels Public Events, Adjusts Schedules After Republican Midterm Election Defeat] ⑴ US President Trump canceled his scheduled public events for Wednesday after the Republican Party suffered widespread losses in the midterm elections. ⑵ White House schedules show that Trump only has closed-door policy meetings planned for the day, with no public appearances planned. ⑶ In an interview with the Wall Street Journal, Trump admitted that the conflict with Iran had some impact on the Republican Party's defeat. ⑷ However, he also stated that he does not regret initiating the conflict. ⑸ Trump's public schedule has noticeably contracted since the Republican Party's midterm election losses. ⑹ The White House has not provided further explanation for the cancellation of public events. ⑺ Market and political observers are watching for potential changes in US policy direction following the Republican defeat. ⑻ Trump's tariff remarks had previously triggered market concerns, further highlighting political uncertainty. ⑼ The White House's adjustment of its external communication pace and the policy impact of changes in the congressional landscape need to be monitored. ⑽ Overall, Trump's public events have become more low-key after the Republican Party's midterm election losses, and his policy agenda faces a new political environment.

21:30:00

US trade balance in September (in billions of US dollars)

Previous : -1056 Forecast : -1080

US Dollar

Gold, Silver, Oil

Published Value -1050

21:30:00

Canada's September trade balance (CAD billion)

Previous : 42 Forecast : 41

Canadian Dollar

US Dollar

Published Value 53.50

21:30:00

Canadian exports in September (CAD 100 million)

Previous : 779.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 785.50

21:30:00

Canada's September imports (CAD 100 million)

Previous : 737.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 732

21:30:00

U.S. September Goods Trade Balance (Revised in USD)

Previous : -1349 Forecast : -

Published Value -1350.80

21:28:27

Wall Street Journal: Trump cancels all public appearances after Republican midterm election losses.

21:27:24

[Argentine Peso Weakens, Market Focuses on Exchange Rate Fluctuations] ⑴ The Argentine peso weakened in early trading, falling to a record low of 1565 pesos to the US dollar. ⑵ Market participants attributed this move to a combination of factors, including increased uncertainty in the external environment.

21:26:06

The better-than-expected non-farm payrolls data suggests a potential downside risk to the overall employment level. Details>

21:25:21

The most active liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) futures contract fell 3.00% intraday, closing at 7173 yuan/ton.

21:24:39

[Democratic Victory Shifts Policy Expectations, Pressures AI Infrastructure and US Treasury Outlook] ⑴ Following Tuesday's landslide victory for the Democrats, market narratives quickly shifted towards risk appetite. Investors accepted Trump's promise of cooperation with the Democrats and believed that a political deadlock would benefit Wall Street. Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures rebounded sharply after falling 2.4% and 1.4% respectively. ⑵ However, this rebound largely reflects the unwinding of hedging positions accumulated over the past few trading days, rather than a genuine improvement in the outlook. This enthusiasm for bipartisan cooperation may not last more than a week. Trump had just indicated his willingness to accept the election results when he subsequently released a hat with the word "veto" printed on it, and House Oversight Committee Chairman Garcia responded to the White House with "prepare lawyers." ⑶ With the Democrats securing their largest House majority since 1993 and controlling the Senate, familiar investigations, subpoenas, impeachment proceedings, government shutdowns, and debt ceiling-bound policies may be repeated, rather than the benign deadlock Wall Street expected. (4) Tuesday's Democratic landslide victory, the most surprising outcome and potentially most impactful on the AI bubble, was the sweep of gubernatorial elections in Texas, Georgia, and Ohio—three key states for data center construction. (5) The Democratic winners pledged to limit new projects, and Texas Governor-elect Hinojosa stated that the existing permit freeze would continue until full regulations are implemented, potentially pushing multi-gigawatt capacity from 2027 to 2028 and threatening hundreds of billions of dollars in capital expenditure. (6) The anti-data center movement is no longer confined to one party; rising electricity prices, water consumption, and infrastructure demands have made AI a political burden, with polls showing that a majority of voters consider AI and data centers key or important factors in their congressional votes. (7) With control of Congress, Democrats are expected to intensify scrutiny of the relationship between hyperscale corporations and the White House, hold hearings for tech executives, and push for AI development and data center energy consumption regulations. (8) For US Treasury bonds, the initial risk appetite reaction is seen as a selling opportunity rather than a lasting shift in sentiment. The traditional narrative of a deadlock being beneficial ignores the risks of prolonged fiscal standoffs, debt ceiling threats, government shutdowns, and investigations. (9) The Democratic Senate majority also allows them to block judicial and executive appointments, while Iran's deployment of mines and underwater drones targeting Persian Gulf shipping following Monday's U.S. strike on Qeshm Island adds to geopolitical uncertainty. (10) The Democratic landslide victory comes at a time when the AI investment boom increasingly relies on massive debt issuance, high valuations, and ongoing data center construction, and in a politically hostile environment, AI deals could crumble more quickly.

21:18:37

[Spain to Issue Three Bonds on Thursday, Market Expects Strong Demand] ⑴ Spain will issue €4.5 billion to €5.5 billion in 5-year, 10-year, and 15-year bonds on Thursday. ⑶ This issuance is expected to perform well due to factors including strong index dynamics at the end of last month, a relatively small issuance size, and the generally strong performance of Spanish bond auctions. ⑷ Last Friday, approximately €130 billion in Eurozone bonds fell below the minimum one-year maturity index and benchmarks based on these indices, while the monthly average is around €75 billion, making it the largest monthly issuance this year. ⑸ With more funds flowing into the benchmarks due to the sale of these bonds, this auction presents a good opportunity for benchmark investors to buy in bulk, especially as primary issuances in November and December will begin to decrease. ⑹ The smaller size of this auction compared to the normal level for the first Spanish auction of the month further supports demand. ⑺ Spanish auctions typically perform well, also due to factors such as the value of greenshoe options, which are naturally higher in the current volatile market than in calmer times, and the fact that these options also cover Friday's US jobs report. (8) The relative lack of liquidity in the Spanish secondary market makes auctions more competitive as a venue for bulk purchases, and Spanish bonds can also serve as an alternative to bonds from other countries with similar yields but fewer issuances. (9) Finally, issuers are clearly skilled in choosing which types of bonds to sell; the choice to issue additional 5-year bonds may be one indication of this.

21:16:52

The US dollar index rose by about 7 points in the short term, reaching a high of 101.27.

21:16:27

British Prime Minister Burnham: If the country falls into division, the cost of living cannot be reduced.

21:16:13

[US Private Sector Jobs Increase by 86,000 in October, Wage Growth Remains Stable] ⑴ A national employment report released Wednesday by ADP showed that private sector employment increased by 86,000 jobs in October, marking the second consecutive month of steady growth in hiring, while wage growth remained stable. ⑵ By industry, the goods-producing sector added 4,000 jobs, with construction adding 13,000, natural resources and mining losing 8,000, and manufacturing losing 1,000. ⑶ The service-providing sector added 82,000 jobs, with trade, transportation, and utilities adding 39,000, financial activities adding 15,000, education and health services adding 28,000, leisure and hospitality adding 19,000, while professional and business services declined for the third consecutive month, falling by 27,000. ⑷ By region, the South added 47,000 jobs, the West added 28,000, the Midwest added 9,000, and the Northeast added 3,000. (5) By organization size, small businesses added 28,000, medium-sized businesses added 33,000, and large businesses added 24,000. (6) In terms of salary, base salaries for private sector employees increased by 3.2% year-on-year, and total salaries increased by 4.7%. (7) Base salaries for those who remained with their jobs increased by 3.0%, while those who changed jobs increased by 4.8%; in terms of total salaries, those who remained with their jobs increased by 4.4%, while those who changed jobs increased by 7.6%. (8) Richardson, chief economist at Automatic Data Processing, said that employers of all sizes were hiring last month, and the data shows that job seekers were attracted not only by higher base salaries but also by bonuses, overtime, and more working hours. The combined income growth of these employees reached its fastest level since March 2024.

21:15:00

US October ADP Employment Change (in thousands)

Previous : 9 Forecast : 6.50

US Dollar

Gold, Silver, Oil

Published Value 8.60

21:14:55

India's Ministry of Home Affairs recommends that non-bank financial institutions (NBFCs) remove or shut down old, unused, or testing payment interfaces.

21:14:40

[US Mortgage Applications Fall 1.2%, Lower Interest Rates Fails to Boost Demand] ⑴ US mortgage applications fell 1.2% in the week ending October 30, after rising 3.4% the previous week, despite a slight decline in borrowing costs. ⑵ The average interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages (with loan balance caps) fell to 7.3% from 7.37%, the lowest level since September 2026, after the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged in October. ⑶ However, the lower interest rates failed to boost demand, with home purchase applications falling 2% from the previous week. Refinancing activity was largely flat, rising only 0.1%. ⑷ Meanwhile, borrowers continued to turn to adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) for lower initial payments. The average interest rate on ARMs fell to 6.29% from 6.41%, and the proportion of such loan applications rose to its highest level since September 2025.

21:14:07

[Nordic Bank: ECB to Gradually Tighten Policy, Two More Rate Hikes Expected] ⑴ Nordea Bank's report indicates that Eurozone overall inflation rose to 4.0% in October, mainly driven by a rebound in energy and food prices. ⑵ Core inflation remained at 2.5%, with the secondary effect so far being moderate. ⑶ Nordea Bank expects the ECB to raise interest rates twice more, noting downside risks from tightening financing conditions and weakening economic activity, but still believes there are ample reasons for a gradual tightening of policy.

21:13:31

[US 30-Year Mortgage Rate Falls to 7.3%, Declining for the Third Consecutive Week] ⑴ Data from the Mortgage Bankers Association shows that as of the week ending October 30, the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 7.3%, marking the third consecutive week of decline, providing further relief for potential homebuyers and homeowners considering refinancing. ⑵ The decline in borrowing costs is consistent with the downward trend in US Treasury yields. ⑶ However, the easing of interest rates did not boost overall mortgage applications, which fell 1.2% from the previous week. Home purchase applications decreased by 2%, while applications for refinancing existing loans increased slightly by 0.1%.

21:12:56

[Israeli Security Company Says Some AI Cyber Intrusions Were Due to Human Error] At a recent tech industry event in London, Dan Rahaf, CEO of the Israeli AI company Unconventional, said that during a series of security tests on AI models conducted by his company, human error and time pressure led to some isolation and protection measures being improperly configured, allowing the models to access the internet and commit cyber intrusions. According to Bloomberg, in the past six months, US companies Anthropic, OpenAI, Metaverse, and Google have all disclosed cyber intrusion incidents involving model security testing, which was overseen by Unconventional. Such assessments aim to help developers identify risks and develop protective measures before releasing models to the public. Rahaf reportedly stated at the Bloomberg Tech London conference on the 3rd that the issues the company encountered earlier this year were resolved on the day of the incident. (Xinhua)

21:12:34

Is the dollar bulls crowded out, triggering a euro-dollar profit-taking move? Details>

21:06:49

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1460.00/ounce mark, last trading at $1459.74/ounce, up 2.86% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1464.1/ounce, up 2.38% on the day.

21:05:39

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $94.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $93.98/barrel, down 2.20% on the day.

21:04:53

[Lufthansa and Turkish Airlines Joint Venture Reduces Winter Capacity to Pass on Fuel Costs] ⑴ SunExpress, the joint venture between Lufthansa and Turkish Airlines, is reducing its flight capacity this winter and passing on some of the additional costs to passengers to mitigate the impact of rising aviation fuel prices driven by the Middle East conflict. ⑵ SunExpress CEO Schnabel said on Wednesday that the company will cut approximately 10% of its flight capacity during the off-season, reducing the total number of seats from 5 million to 4.5 million. ⑶ This reduction will be achieved by decreasing daily flight frequency and canceling some domestic flights within Turkey. ⑷ Schnabel stated that even after hedging operations, SunExpress's fuel expenses will still increase by approximately €200 million (about $225 million) this year, and are expected to rise further next year. ⑸ Schnabel joined SunExpress in February this year, having worked at Lufthansa for over 20 years. He succeeded Konatsky, the current head of Eurowings.

21:02:28

The pound sterling just touched the 1.3500 level against the dollar, last trading at 1.3500, up 0.64% on the day.

21:02:23

German energy giant Uniper raised its adjusted net profit outlook for 2026, sending its shares up 2.7%.

21:02:08

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract fell 2.07% on the day, closing at $94.10 per barrel.

21:01:16

ECB President candidate Knott: Private lending is hampered by a lack of transparency in ratings and valuations.

21:00:38

The most active liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) futures contract fell 2.03% intraday, closing at 7245 yuan/ton.

21:00:07

The most active liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) futures contract fell 1.58% intraday, closing at 7278 yuan/ton.

20:59:03

ECB President candidate Knott: Financial markets struggle to price geopolitical risks.

20:55:28

ECB President candidate Knott: Europe is under pressure in the competition.

20:54:35

The US dollar index is fluctuating around 101.3. How are the weights of political factors and policy paths changing? Details>

20:53:59

ECB President candidate Knott: Europe has suffered due to the lack of an integrated capital market.

20:53:47

[US Midterm Election Results Released, Employment and Services Data Released in Quick Succession] ⑴ Overnight, the US midterm election results were released. The Democratic Party is expected to control both houses of Congress. The market is focused on US Treasury yields, the US dollar, and fiscal policy expectations. ⑵ At 20:00 Beijing time, the US will release MBA mortgage application data. ⑶ At 20:15 Beijing time, the US will release October ADP employment data, with an expected increase of 75,000, compared to the previous increase of 90,000. ⑷ At 20:30 Beijing time, the US will release the September trade balance, with an expected deficit of $104.9 billion, compared to the previous deficit of $105.6 billion. ⑸ At 20:30 Beijing time, the US Treasury will release its quarterly refinancing plan. The market is focused on the issuance plan, auction size, and borrowing demand. ⑹ At 21:00 Beijing time, the New York Fed will release its labor market tightness index. ⑺ At 21:45 Beijing time, the US will release the final value of the October S&P Global Services Purchasing Managers' Index, with a preliminary value of 57.9. (8) At 22:00 Beijing time, the US will release the October ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index, expected to be 54.8, previous value 54.9. (9) At 22:30 Beijing time, the US will release the Energy Information Administration's weekly crude oil inventory data. (10) At 23:00 Beijing time, the US Treasury will issue a repurchase announcement, auction 17-week Treasury bills at 23:30 Beijing time, and conduct repurchase operations at 02:00 the following day. (11) Throughout the day, the market will focus on the aftermath of the election, US Treasury yields, artificial intelligence stocks, oil prices, and geopolitical news. (12) In the coming days, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, the US will release initial jobless claims, third-quarter productivity, and the October non-farm payroll report, and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released on Friday.

20:52:47

ECB President candidate Knott: We can benefit from artificial intelligence through clever applications.

20:52:17

ECB President candidate Knott: The ECB will respond with a "hawkish" policy.

20:52:16

ECB President candidate Knott: Artificial intelligence will drive productivity growth

20:48:41

ECB presidential candidate Knott: The ECB may have to look further up to its 2% target.

20:48:19

[European Defense Stocks Fall as Democratic Victory Weakens Expectations for US Military Spending Expansion] ⑴ European defense stocks fell as the Democratic Party's landslide victory in the US midterm elections weakened market expectations for further increases in US military spending. ⑵ Goldman Sachs' European defense sector portfolio index fell as much as 4.1% on Wednesday, its biggest drop in more than four months. ⑶ Shares of British defense company BAE Systems fell as much as 5.9%; nearly half of the company's revenue comes from the US market. ⑷ Rick, an analyst at MWB Research, commented in an email that the election results also eliminated a factor that had previously driven the rise of European defense stocks in 2025: market concerns about the US withdrawing from European defense affairs. ⑸ However, Mediobanca analyst Pozzi believes that the European market's reaction to the election results was somewhat unexpected, given that polls and forecasts had been pointing to a landslide victory for the Democrats for weeks.

20:47:21

German Foreign Minister: The US midterm election results mean that US-German relations have both continuity and changes.

20:47:06

Meta Platforms' first euro-denominated bond issuance attracted record demand of €53 billion.

20:46:57

ECB President candidate Knott: Core inflation and second-round effects may pick up.

20:44:04

[US Mortgage Rates Fall for Third Consecutive Week, Home Loan Applications Still Decline] ⑴ US mortgage rates fell for the third consecutive week, but home loan application activity declined, indicating that borrowing costs remain too high for many potential homebuyers. ⑵ Data from the Mortgage Bankers Association on Wednesday showed that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage contract rate fell 7 basis points to 7.30% in the week ending October 30. ⑶ Despite the decline, rates are still nearly 1 percentage point higher than a year ago and are close to their highest level since 2023. ⑷ The MBA Home Purchase Index, which measures the number of home loan applications, fell 2%, declining in eight of the past nine weeks, and is currently near its lowest level since January 2025. ⑸ Indicators measuring refinancing activity rose only slightly. ⑹ Since mid-September, mortgage rates have risen back above 7%, further weakening the already sluggish US housing market. ⑺ In September, the index measuring pending home sales fell to a record low. ⑻ Since the beginning of 2025, residential construction activity has been a drag on US economic growth in all but one quarter.

20:43:50

Will US Treasury yields hit 5.5%? Gold, crude oil, and forex face triple pressure. Details>

20:40:44

US MBA Mortgage Application Activity Index for the Week Ending October 30

Previous : 195 Forecast : -

Published Value 192.60

20:39:31

[Trump: "No Need to Use Nuclear Weapons" Against Iran] US President Donald Trump said in a program broadcast on Politico's website on the 4th that he would decide whether to escalate action against Iran depending on the situation. He also stated that there was no need to use nuclear weapons against Iran. When asked if he would escalate action against Iran, Trump said, "We'll see how things go, and if we see any opportunity to take some kind of action, we'll do what's in the best interest of this country." When asked if he would use nuclear weapons against Iran, Trump stated, "I don't need to use nuclear weapons. We've destroyed 90% of their strength." (CCTV)

20:38:51

[Ukrainian Dollar Bonds Rise as Markets Bet on Democratic Victory Improving US-Ukraine Relations] ⑴ Ukrainian dollar bonds rose as markets bet a Democratic landslide victory in the US midterm elections would improve relations between Kyiv and Washington and support Ukraine's defense efforts. ⑵ The price of a 4.5% coupon bond maturing in 2034 rose by more than one cent, breaking through 63 cents per dollar face value, reaching its highest level in over a month. ⑶ On Wednesday, Ukrainian bonds became one of the best-performing bonds in emerging markets after investors digested news of a crushing defeat for Trump's Republican Party. ⑷ Zelenskyy's relationship with Trump has been strained; Trump blamed rising international oil prices for Ukraine's attack on Russian oil refineries, arguing that it exacerbated his election loss. ⑸ Democratic control of both houses of Congress could also benefit Ukraine, as it relies on US intelligence and weapons in its military operations. ⑹ Aberdeen Investments Director, Saubo, said that recent news has been negative following the latest attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, and the market now expects the new Congress to block the United States from cutting off intelligence sharing with Ukraine or restricting Ukraine's use of related satellite systems.

20:37:15

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,040.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,039.99/ounce, up 2.80% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,050.90/ounce, up 2.80% on the day.

20:35:46

[ING: Democrats Control Congress, Trump May Turn to Veto Role] ⑴ A Democratic-controlled Congress will likely obstruct Trump's domestic agenda during his final two years in office. Bills must pass both houses before being sent to the president for signature or veto, and Trump has warned he could become "Mr. Veto." Democrats have failed to secure a two-thirds majority in both houses. ⑵ Spending and tax proposals, like most domestic legislation, are likely to stall. There is potential room for compromise between healthcare affordability and increased defense spending, but major tax and spending changes seem unlikely. ⑶ This is seen as providing a stabilizing backdrop for the business community, but also means that the US fiscal situation is unlikely to change substantially. There will be no further fiscal expansion, but the massive fiscal deficit and deteriorating debt dynamics will continue. ⑷ The fiscal situation will remain a concern. Reaching the debt ceiling may act as a temporary brake, and the issue could reach a critical point by mid-summer 2027, with limited room for compromise between the two parties in Congress. (5) This could trigger a government shutdown lasting longer than last October, which reduced GDP growth by 1 percentage point in the fourth quarter of 2025, and the Federal Reserve could again "fly blindly" due to a lack of government economic data. (6) Key sectors of the U.S. business community will be nervous due to Democratic control of important oversight committees, congressional hearings involving leaders of artificial intelligence and technology companies will increase, local Democratic leaders may be more confident in shelving unpopular data center construction, and fossil fuel producers may face similar challenges. (7) Democrats may be more confident in opposing Trump's policies on Iran, support for Israel, and tariff escalation, and may pressure the president to be tougher on Russia and support Ukraine, but the final decision rests with the president. (8) With Democrats wielding greater power, investigations into Trump, his family, and government members may intensify, financial and business investigations could lead to subpoenas, and the likelihood of the House initiating impeachment proceedings increases, although the Senate requires 67 votes to convict and remove him from office, making it unlikely. (9) Democratic control of the Senate could block or at least delay judicial and executive nominees, including heads of government agencies, ambassadors, and cabinet members, which could make it difficult for the president to replace senior officials he has dismissed. (10) A key question is whether Trump, entering the final stages of his term and facing constraints, is more willing to accept political or market turmoil in order to achieve his goals. If compromise is not possible, the president may focus on areas of executive power such as foreign policy and trade, national security and defense, law enforcement and regulation, personnel appointments, and administration.

20:32:55

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1470.00/oz mark, currently trading at $1470.20/oz, up 3.60% on the day; Nymex platinum futures are currently trading at $1472.0/oz, up 2.94% on the day; Spot gold has just broken through the $4050.00/oz mark, currently trading at $4051.18/oz, up 3.08% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4060.50/oz, up 3.05% on the day.

20:31:59

Iran's granting of travel waivers to the four countries suggests it will not relinquish its dominant position. Details>

20:30:20

[Trump Says "No Need to Use Nuclear Weapons" Against Iran] US President Donald Trump stated in a program broadcast on Politico's website on the 4th that he would decide whether to escalate actions against Iran depending on the situation; when asked if he would use nuclear weapons against Iran, he said "no need to use nuclear weapons," and claimed that "90% of their strength has been destroyed." (Xinhua)

20:28:39

Ukraine's preliminary third-quarter GDP figure showed a 0.7% year-on-year decline, in line with market expectations. The preliminary third-quarter GDP figure also showed a 0.5% quarter-on-quarter decline.

20:25:41

Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi stated that the company has committed approximately $10 billion to the future development of autonomous vehicles.

20:25:23

[Yemeni Government Military Training Center Attacked by Missile] A Yemeni government military official stated on the 4th that a government military training center in Daliyah province in southern Yemen was attacked by a ballistic missile, resulting in the deaths of at least 10 new recruits and injuries to 52 others. The official, who declined to be named, said the attacked training center, located in the Qataba district of Daliyah province, was used for training new government soldiers. The recruits were conducting morning exercises when the attack occurred. The official said, "Hospitals in Daliyah province are overwhelmed due to the large number of casualties, and ambulances have been forced to transfer many seriously wounded to hospitals in Aden." He indicated that the death toll could rise further. The official accused the Houthi rebels of carrying out the attack. (CCTV)

20:23:51

[European Commission: Montenegro Expected to Join the EU in 2028, with Accession Treaty Ready to be Signed as Early as June 2027] (1) The European Commission stated that Montenegro is expected to join the EU in 2028, which could prompt the EU to restart its expansion process; Europe is currently seeking to expand its global influence. (2) Marta Kos, the EU Commissioner for Enlargement, told reporters on Wednesday that, at the current pace, the accession treaty could be ready to be signed as early as June 2027; she was introducing the EU candidate country report released by the European Commission that day. Montenegro will still need to obtain approval from all EU member states before it can officially join the EU. (3) Kos also stated that Albania, Moldova and Ukraine may also be among the countries to join the EU, and said that these countries are moving along a “credible” accession path, although there are still doubts among European countries; the report outlines a corresponding accession roadmap for each country, but does not specify a specific timetable for accession.

20:20:53

Meta Platforms (META.O) plans to raise up to €9 billion through its first euro bond issuance.

20:15:09

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk: Trump himself said after the election that the Democrats performed well; this time, I completely agree with him.

20:14:58

European Commission Executive Vice-President Dombrovskis: Continued communication with partners regarding funding for Ukraine

20:13:35

EU Trade Commissioner Šefčovič: The European Commission discussed the US election results, and respecting the US-EU trade agreement is crucial.

20:12:10

[McDonald's Q3 U.S. Sales Decline Less Than Expected, Rising Average Transaction Value Offsets Declining Customer Traffic] (1) McDonald's Q3 U.S. sales declined less than expected, as higher average transaction value offset a drop in customer traffic; comparable sales in the U.S. market fell 0.2% in the quarter, less than the average analyst forecast compiled by institutions. (2) McDonald's warned in late September that Q3 results might "decline slightly," partly because a series of value menu items launched earlier this year failed to attract the expected number of customers. McDonald's is under pressure to improve its U.S. market performance; as of the last quarter, U.S. market revenue accounted for 38% of the company's total revenue. (3) The restaurant chain is trying to launch new promotional strategies to replace the previously underperforming under-$3 low-priced menu; at the same time, it is reducing short-term promotional activities and instead promoting the previously well-received "value meals," and relaunching app-exclusive offers that had been gradually phased out.

20:08:57

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk: We spend 7% of our total budget on security and defense, and we will not change this policy. We are fully aware of the burden this places on us. Our 7% deficit is no coincidence that we allocate 7% of our funds to security and defense. But we have no other choice.

20:07:57

[Israeli President Accepts Parliamentary Election Results and Begins Consultations with Parties on Government Formation] According to Israeli sources on October 4th, local time, Israeli President Herzog accepted the results of the Israeli parliamentary elections and began consultations with various parliamentary parties on government formation. Israel held parliamentary elections on October 27th, and the vote count showed that none of the two major political camps reached the 61-seat majority required to form a government on their own. Compared to the previous parliament, Netanyahu's camp saw its seats drop from 68 to 53, making his continued rule highly uncertain. Since neither major political camp secured a majority, government formation negotiations are expected to be extremely difficult. (CCTV)

20:05:23

The SPS agreement reached between the UK and the EU could add billions of pounds to the UK economy.

20:05:07

The Finnish opposition has filed a motion of no confidence over the cost of living.

20:04:57

The Finnish government passed the vote of confidence in parliament.

20:03:09

[AI Trading Continues to Weaken, Non-AI Sectors Relatively Strong] ⑴ The Goldman Sachs AI Basket Index has fallen 24% since May, nearing its lowest level since March 2026. ⑵ Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 has fallen 10% from its high, trading near its lowest level since July. ⑶ This sell-off reflects growing investor concerns about the enormous costs of AI infrastructure, the increasing reliance of large tech companies on debt and equity financing, and how long it will take for these investments to generate meaningful returns. ⑷ At the same time, the S&P 500, excluding AI stocks, rose to a record high, with defensive sectors and non-AI-related industries outperforming. ⑸ AI trading is rapidly losing momentum.

20:00:57

McDonald's same-store sales grew 1.5% in the third quarter, exceeding the expected growth of 1.35%.

20:00:00

The US MBA Mortgage Refinancing Activity Index for the week ending October 30

Previous : 516.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 517.50

20:00:00

US MBA 30-year fixed mortgage rate for the week ending October 30

Previous : 7.37% Forecast : -

Published Value 7.30%

20:00:00

The US MBA mortgage application activity index for the week ending October 30th week-over-week change

Previous : 3.40% Forecast : -

Published Value -1.20%

20:00:00

US MBA Mortgage Purchase Index for the week ending October 30

Previous : 134.10 Forecast : -

Published Value 131.40

19:59:31

Tesla registrations in Germany rose 291% year-on-year in October to 2,932 vehicles.

19:57:50

[Nvidia Shares Rise Against the Trend on Wednesday: Positive Earnings Ease Concerns About Data Center Delays, Political Censorship Risks Remain] (1) Despite the possibility that a Democratic victory could push for stricter restrictions on data center construction, Nvidia shares rose on Wednesday. Positive earnings from major chip companies suggest that market concerns about data center construction delays have not yet immediately affected Nvidia and other hardware companies; customers are still scrambling to stockpile AI hardware, even though it is uncertain whether there will be suitable locations to install these devices in the future. (2) The defeats of Republican governors in Texas and Ohio mean that AI infrastructure construction will face stricter scrutiny. Mark Haefele, chief investment officer of UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a research report that increased congressional oversight will not necessarily hinder the AI investment cycle; comprehensive federal restrictions will face legislative and presidential constraints, while state and local regulations will still have a greater impact on data center construction timelines and site selection. (3) Nvidia will face greater challenges in the future if Democratic politicians do push for stricter measures to restrict AI data center construction. However, the market is currently more focused on signs that chip demand remains strong after the stock's recent weak performance.

19:55:02

Uganda's M3 money supply grew by 19.46% year-on-year in September.

19:53:46

The U.S. National Hurricane Center reports a 30% chance that a storm south of Bermuda will develop into a cyclone within the next 48 hours.

19:52:22

[Hungary Plans to Eliminate Russian Gas Imports by Autumn 2027 and Seeks Oil Alternatives] (1) Hungarian Foreign Minister Anita Orbán confirmed that Hungary will abandon its imports of natural gas from Russia by autumn 2027 and is looking for ways to reduce its dependence on Russian oil. Hungarian Minister of Economy and Energy István Kapitan said in September that Budapest was prepared to meet Brussels' demand to abandon Russian gas from October 2027 and that alternative gas sources had been found. (2) In an interview with Telex, Orbán said that the EU has set a clear deadline of autumn 2027 for the gradual elimination of Russian gas. She pointed out that Hungary is considering alternatives to importing natural gas from Azerbaijan, as well as obtaining gas sources through liquefied natural gas receiving terminals in Greece, Lithuania and Poland. (3) Orbán added that Hungary is currently planning alternatives to importing oil through the JANAF pipeline operated by Croatian operator; Hungarian energy company MOL is creating conditions for the technical upgrade of its refineries so that it can purchase non-Russian oil through JANAF.

19:51:58

[Vietnam Releases First Independently Designed Secure Semiconductor Platform and Security Chip VGC v1.0] (1) The Vietnam Government Cryptography Committee and the Military Electronics and Telecommunications Group (Viettel) jointly released the country's first independently designed secure semiconductor platform and its first security chip, VGC v1.0. (2) The chip has a package size of 10 mm × 10 mm, integrates approximately 300 million transistors, is manufactured using a 28-nanometer CMOS process, and directly integrates Vietnam's independently developed encryption algorithm into the chip hardware. (3) The chip is primarily targeted at the government and defense sectors.

19:49:28

Minutes of the Bank of Israel's Monetary Policy Committee meeting show that on October 21, all members of the committee voted to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.25%.

19:48:54

[Yemeni Government Army Military Training Center Attacked by Missile] Sana'a—A Yemeni government army official told Xinhua News Agency on the 4th that a government army military training center in Dali'a province in southern Yemen was attacked by a ballistic missile, killing at least 10 new recruits and injuring 52 others. (Xinhua)

19:47:56

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Bagaei said: Attacking Iran will not bring victory, only defeat. Iran is not the kind of country that can be subdued by arrogance, intimidation, or aggression.

19:44:26

Kremlin: We hope the results of the US midterm elections will not affect Trump's peace efforts on Ukraine.

19:44:08

French Economy and Finance Minister Lescuer: There is no reason to revise France's 2026 deficit target of 5.4%; France must achieve the 2027 deficit target of 5% to gain public trust.

19:43:48

TASS: Russia hopes that US President Trump will continue his peace efforts after the election.

19:41:12

[Venediketov: Europe is unlikely to become the center of power again, while Eurasia's influence is rising] (1) Russian Security Council Deputy Secretary Venediktov said that Europe is unlikely to become the center of power again in the future, while Eurasia is increasingly becoming a more influential and promising region. (2) The press service of the Russian Federation Security Council quoted him as saying at the Minsk thematic meeting on "National Security Concepts and Doctrines in the Greater Eurasian Space: Characteristics and Prospects" that Europe has driven itself into a dead end by relying on anti-Russian rhetoric and investing huge sums of money in militarization. (3) Venediktov added that these Europeans are trapped in militarism and the arms race, have long lost their former status as the center of power, and will find it difficult to regain it in the future.

19:38:37

Saudi Crown Prince meets with Syrian President in Riyadh

19:37:21

The U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency has released a regulatory framework for banks' use of artificial intelligence.

19:37:16

Gold breaks through the $4,000 mark as the US midterm elections shake the market. Details>

19:35:21

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: I convened a coordination meeting to discuss how to deal with the consequences of the Russian attacks and restore power supplies. Russian attacks are happening almost daily, and the repair work on energy infrastructure is also proceeding day and night.

19:33:50

According to Axios, OpenAI will acquire Pierre Computer, a development tools startup. Pierre Computer's technology has already been integrated into OpenAI's code generation model, Codex. As AI agents take on more and more programming tasks, OpenAI is joining the ranks of those challenging Microsoft's GitHub.

17

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4045.39	-43.41 (-1.06%)
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CONC	91.51	0.99 (1.09%)
OILC	99.69	0.56 (0.57%)
USD	101.763	0.170 (0.17%)
EURUSD	1.1197	-0.0021 (-0.19%)
GBPUSD	1.3431	-0.0017 (-0.13%)
USDCNH	6.6664	0.0019 (0.03%)

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