Real-Time Financial News | 24/7 Market Updates

20:43:12

Morgan Stanley raised its price target on CoreWeave from $58.00 per share to $91.00.

20:42:03

Prelude to a Dollar Rebound: Volatility Plummets, Is a Short-Selling Wave Imminent? ⑴ As market expectations for significant volatility recede, US dollar option volatility is declining. ⑵ Although traders previously primarily bet on further dollar weakness, the likelihood of this expectation being realized is diminishing. ⑶ This trend will encourage speculators to reduce risk and could trigger a large-scale short-covering. ⑷ A wave of short-selling is expected to push the US dollar higher. ⑸ The US dollar is currently supported by relatively high interest rates. ⑹ Furthermore, the Federal Reserve may take longer to adjust interest rates, which will also provide solid support for the US dollar. ⑺ The market is facing the risk of a short squeeze against the US dollar against the Japanese yen. ⑻ Traders holding long euro positions are more likely to sell if the euro falls below the critical 1.1400 level against the US dollar. ⑼ Overall, multiple factors are creating favorable conditions for a US dollar rebound.

20:41:15

Canada's average weekly income annual rate in May

Previous : 4.43% Forecast : -

Published Value 3.31%

20:41:07

[US Inflation Rebounds Unexpectedly, Further Adding to the Conflict about the Fed's Path to Rate Cuts] ⑴ US inflation accelerated in June as import tariffs began to push up the cost of some goods. ⑵ The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-over-month in June, accelerating from a revised 0.2% in May. ⑶ Year-over-year, the PCE price index rose 2.6% in June, up from 2.4% in May and exceeding market expectations of 2.5%. ⑷ Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the core PCE price index rose 0.3% month-over-month and 2.8% year-over-year, matching May's increase. ⑸ Economists generally expect businesses to pass on the higher costs of tariffs to consumers in the second half of the year, pushing up prices. ⑹ Federal Reserve Chairman Powell suggested the impact of tariffs may be a "one-time price effect," but acknowledged that the transmission process may be slower than expected. ⑺ Consumer spending grew 0.3% in June, reversing the flat reading in May. ⑻ In the second quarter, the economy rebounded at an annualized rate of 3.0%, mainly due to a significant narrowing of the trade deficit. ⑼ Although the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, the rebound in inflation data may make it more cautious about whether to cut interest rates in September.

20:39:55

Spot gold just broke through the $3,310.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $3,310.16/ounce, up 1.08% on the day. The main COMEX gold futures contract was last trading at $3,363.20/ounce, up 0.31% on the day.

20:37:45

The US PCE data was higher than expected. The US dollar index rose by about 8 points in the short term, reaching a high of 99.8916. Spot gold fell by about $3 and then rebounded by about $6, reaching a high of 3309.85.

20:35:37

Shocking US PCE Data Release: Inflation Rebounds Surprisingly, Dealing Another Damper to Fed Rate Cut Hopes] ⑴ The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 2.6% year-on-year in June, exceeding market expectations of 2.5%. ⑵ The May data was revised to a 2.4% increase. ⑶ The core PCE price index rose 2.8% year-on-year, also exceeding market expectations of 2.7%. ⑷ The year-on-year increase in core PCE in May was also revised to 2.8%. ⑸ Month-on-month, the PCE price index rose 0.3% in June, and the core PCE rose 0.3%, both in line with market expectations and higher than the May data. ⑹ Personal income grew 0.3% in June, exceeding expectations of 0.2%, reversing the 0.4% decline in May. ⑺ Personal spending grew 0.3%, slightly below the 0.4% expected growth, but breaking away from the flat growth in May. ⑻ Real consumer spending grew 0.1% in June, reversing the 0.2% decline in May. ⑼ The personal savings rate remained unchanged at 4.5%. ⑽ The unexpected rebound in inflation data, particularly the stubbornness of core PCE, may further reinforce the Fed's cautious stance. ⑾ This undoubtedly dampened market expectations of a September rate cut, suggesting that the Fed still faces challenges in addressing inflation.

20:30:46

Canada's seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate for May

Previous : 1.30% Forecast : 0.90%

Published Value 1.20%

20:30:27

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: The current daily candlestick chart for GBP/USD shows a clear downward trend. The exchange rate has fallen for six consecutive trading days, forming a six-day losing streak, reflecting bearish sentiment and a lack of effective bullish resistance in the short term. The price has fallen below the middle Bollinger Band (1.3516) and is trading close to the lower Bollinger Band (1.3223). The intraday low reached 1.3209, just shy of the key support level of 1.3100, further deteriorating the technical outlook. The 1.3100 level represents medium-term support. Analysts believe a break below this level could open the way for a move to the 1.3000 level or even the previous low of 1.2708. From a technical perspective, the current market trend forms the right shoulder of a head-and-shoulders pattern originating from the 1.3788 high, confirming a typical reversal pattern. The MACD indicator shows that the DIFF and DEA lines continue to weaken and are below the zero axis, while the histogram remains green, indicating no signs of abating the bearish trend. The RSI (14-day moving average) is at 31.51, approaching oversold territory. While there is room for a short-term technical rebound, the trend remains downward. Overall, the GBP/USD pair is currently in a downtrend, with the Bollinger Bands widening and the K-line trading close to the lower band. The technical structure is bearish. A break below 1.3100 could trigger another round of accelerated decline.

20:30:20

The number of Americans continuing to claim unemployment benefits for the week ending July 19

Previous : 195.50 Forecast : 195.50

美元

金银石油

Published Value 194.60

20:30:20

The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending July 26

Previous : 21.70 Forecast : 22.40

美元

金银石油

Published Value 21.80

20:30:18

The four-week average of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending July 26

Previous : 22.45 Forecast : -

Published Value 22.10

20:30:17

U.S. labor employment wage quarterly rate for the second quarter

Previous : 0.80% Forecast : -

Published Value 1%

20:30:15

The annual rate of the US PCE price index for June

Previous : 2.30% Forecast : 2.50%

美元

金银石油

Published Value 2.60%

20:30:15

The quarterly rate of labor employment benefits in the United States for the second quarter

Previous : 1.20% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.70%

20:30:13

The monthly rate of the core PCE price index in the United States for June

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.30%

Neutral

Published Value 0.30%

20:30:13

The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States for June

Previous : 2.70% Forecast : 2.70%

美元

金银石油

Published Value 2.80%

20:30:11

The monthly rate of real personal consumption expenditure in the United States in June

Previous : -0.30% Forecast : -

Published Value 0.10%

20:30:11

Monthly rate of personal spending in the United States in June

Previous : -0.10% Forecast : 0.40%

金银欧元

美元

Published Value 0.30%

20:30:09

The monthly rate of the US PCE price index for June

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : 0.30%

Neutral

Published Value 0.30%

20:30:07

Monthly rate of personal income in the United States in June

Previous : -0.40% Forecast : 0.20%

美元

金银欧元

Published Value 0.30%

20:30:05

Canada's seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate for May

Previous : -0.10% Forecast : -0.10%

Neutral

Published Value -0.10%

20:30:05

The quarterly rate of labor employment costs in the United States for the second quarter

Previous : 0.90% Forecast : 0.80%

Published Value 0.90%

20:29:17

German inflation unexpectedly accelerates its decline, adding further uncertainty to expectations for a rate cut? ⑴ Preliminary German inflation data for July showed a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, below analysts' expectations of 1.9%. ⑵ This was also lower than the previous month's 2.0% year-on-year increase. ⑶ The EU's Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) showed a 0.4% month-on-month increase in July, in line with market expectations. ⑷ However, the year-on-year increase was 1.8%, below the expected 1.9%. ⑸ Data from the Federal Statistical Office showed that Germany's consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.3% month-on-month in July, exceeding market expectations of 0.2%. ⑹ Despite being the eurozone's largest economy, Germany's inflation data is often viewed as a leading indicator of overall eurozone inflation. ⑺ This unexpected decline in inflation may reignite market speculation about the ECB's future path of interest rate cuts. ⑻ Given the ECB's recent cautious stance, the lower-than-expected inflation data may present new considerations for future policy decisions.

20:29:10

The pound's six consecutive declines may confirm a "head and shoulders" pattern. How much room is there for further decline? Details>

20:28:43

Indonesia may reduce U.S. tariffs on refined copper

20:26:36

CEO of American chemical company Albemarle: So far this year, lithium demand has exceeded supply by nearly 20%. It is expected that by 2030, lithium demand will double from the 2024 level.

20:26:02

Lebanese President Calls for Strengthened National Arms Control: According to the Lebanese National News Agency, Lebanese President Joseph Aoun called on July 31st for the military and security forces to have "exclusive control" over weapons throughout the country. In his speech, Aoun called for the extension of state authority throughout the country, the disarmament of all armed groups, including Hezbollah, and the transfer of weapons to the Lebanese army. He emphasized that upholding the military and security forces' "monopoly" on weapons throughout the country is aimed at defending national sovereignty and borders and reclaiming occupied territories. According to Hezbollah's subsidiary Al-Ahram TV, Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem stated on the 30th that Hezbollah's armed forces "exist to resist Israel and will not be used for domestic affairs." (Xinhua News Agency)

20:25:31

CEO of US chemicals company Albemarle: It is estimated that the lithium market has been in surplus since the end of 2022

20:24:26

[Li Bin: NIO's cumulative R&D investment exceeds 60 billion yuan] On July 31st, at the Ledao L90 launch conference, NIO Chairman Li Bin stated that NIO has adhered to full-stack forward-looking R&D since its inception. Over the past decade, NIO has invested over 60 billion yuan in R&D, of which over 18 billion yuan has been invested in battery charging and swapping. Official data shows that NIO has built a nationwide battery charging and swapping network of 8,131 stations, including 3,430 battery swap stations and 4,701 charging stations.

20:21:33

US Middle East envoy meets with Netanyahu to discuss Gaza ceasefire, other issues. On the 31st local time, US Middle East envoy Witkoff visited Israel and met with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. According to local media reports, the two sides will primarily discuss the Gaza ceasefire, the current humanitarian situation in Gaza, and the Iranian nuclear issue. Witkoff also plans to travel to Gaza. (CCTV News)

20:21:17

Argentina lowered its soybean oil and soybean meal export tax to 24.5% from 31%

20:14:59

Bombardier's CEO announced the delivery of the first jets to Saudi Arabia, calling the kingdom a market with growth potential.

20:13:54

[Guangzhou Futures Exchange: The price limit for platinum and palladium futures is 4%] On July 31, the Guangzhou Futures Exchange stated that the trading unit of platinum and palladium futures contracts is 1,000 grams/lot, the minimum price change is 0.05 yuan/gram, the price limit for the contract is 4% of the settlement price of the previous trading day, and the minimum trading margin is 5% of the contract value. Platinum and palladium futures will implement a brand delivery system, and the delivery products should be commodities of registered brands announced by the exchange. A relevant person in charge of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange said that the Guangzhou Futures Exchange will carefully sort out and study the opinions and suggestions of all parties in the next step, and further improve the contracts and rules in accordance with relevant laws and regulations and the business rules of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange to ensure that the contracts are close to the actual industry, promote the listing of platinum and palladium varieties as soon as possible, and promote the futures market to serve the high-quality development of the platinum and palladium industries.

20:12:29

Albemarle CEO: Due to the exemption of lithium products and the company's global operations, the impact of US tariffs is expected to remain "minimal"

20:12:17

IATA: Domestic demand increased by 1.6% compared to June 2024

20:10:01

International Air Transport Association (IATA): Passenger traffic growth slowed to 2.6% in June

20:08:50

[The European Central Bank may continue to hold its ground as the Eurozone economy recovers] Barclays economists said that due to the stronger-than-expected economic performance of the Eurozone in the second quarter, the European Central Bank may now keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. Data released earlier this week showed that the Eurozone economy grew by 0.1% in the second quarter, breaking the previous expectation of an economic recession. Barclays therefore raised its forecast for Eurozone economic growth this year from 0.8% to 1.1%. Against this backdrop, economists said that the European Central Bank is likely to decide to keep interest rates at 2% at its next monetary policy meeting in September.

20:07:34

[The US dollar is expected to achieve its first monthly gain since 2025] The US dollar is expected to achieve its first monthly gain since 2025 in July. This is due to the Federal Reserve's tough stance and the strong performance of the US economy. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that he was in no hurry to cut interest rates and did not disclose when interest rates might be cut again. At the same time, after a series of trade agreements were reached, the uncertainty caused by US President Trump's chaotic tariff policy has also eased, and investors' confidence in the resilience of the US economy has increased. The euro is one of the biggest victims of the dollar's rise this month, as investors have withdrawn their previous bets based on the assumption that "the European market may provide more opportunities." The euro is expected to fall nearly 3% this month.

20:07:13

[Germany's inflation fell further to 1.8% in July] Preliminary data released by the German Federal Statistical Office on Thursday showed that Germany's inflation rate fell by 1.8% year-on-year in July, slightly higher than expected. Germany's core inflation rate (excluding volatile food and energy prices) remained unchanged at 2.7% in July. German economic data will be released on Friday, and eurozone inflation data will be released on Friday. Economists surveyed by Reuters expect eurozone inflation to be 1.9% in July, down from 2.0% in the previous month. The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged last week and made a mildly optimistic assessment of the eurozone economy, raising investors' concerns about further easing of policy.

20:06:16

Guangzhou Port: Cargo throughput is expected to reach 50.233 million tons in July, a year-on-year increase of 3.1% Guangzhou Port (601228) announced on the evening of July 31 that in July 2025, the company expects to complete container throughput of 2.272 million TEUs, a year-on-year increase of 1.2%; cargo throughput is expected to reach 50.233 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%. From January to July 2025, the company expects to complete container throughput of 15.676 million TEUs, a year-on-year increase of 8.3%; cargo throughput is expected to reach 337 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%.

20:06:00

US State Department: The PLO and the Palestinian Authority have failed to fulfill their commitments and continue to support terrorism

20:05:07

[US layoffs surge in July, impacted by AI and tariffs] Data from the human resources firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas shows a surge in layoffs announced by US companies in July, significantly higher than the average for the same period since the pandemic, with the tech sector being the most affected. A report released Thursday showed that US companies announced 62,075 layoffs in July, compared to nearly 25,900 in the same period last year. This is the second-highest number of layoffs announced in July in the past decade, second only to the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The report noted that the main reasons for companies' planned layoffs include artificial intelligence and tariffs, with uncertainty about the economic outlook leading to layoffs and store closures in the retail sector. Major tech companies have announced layoff plans in recent weeks. Intel announced plans to cut its workforce by 15%, and Microsoft launched its second wave of large-scale layoffs this year, expected to affect 9,000 employees. The tech industry is increasing spending on AI and trying to cut costs in other areas.

20:04:17

US imposes sanctions on Palestine Liberation Organization, Palestinian Authority officials

20:03:58

Guangzhou Futures Exchange Solicits Public Opinion on Platinum and Palladium Futures and Options Rules: The Guangzhou Futures Exchange (GFEX) issued an announcement on July 31st, soliciting public opinion on platinum and palladium futures and options contracts and related rules. A representative from the GFEX stated that the exchange will carefully review and study the opinions and suggestions from all parties. The exchange will further improve the contracts and rules in accordance with relevant laws and regulations and the GFEX's business rules to ensure that the contracts are aligned with industry realities, promote the listing of platinum and palladium products as soon as possible, and promote the futures market's support for the high-quality development of the platinum and palladium industries.

20:02:58

[INGB: Upcoming U.S. data may boost the dollar] ING analyst Francesco Pesole said in a report that the U.S. dollar is expected to rise again as the upcoming data may not be conducive to the recent interest rate cuts in the United States. He said that the core PCE price index for June (an inflation indicator commonly used by the Federal Reserve), which will be released at 20:30 Beijing time, may exceed expectations. Other data worth paying attention to is the number of initial jobless claims, which unexpectedly fell for six consecutive weeks. This is the longest decline since August-September 2022, which may indicate a strong labor market. In addition, the non-farm payroll data released on Friday may also be "good enough" to support the Federal Reserve to continue to suspend interest rate cuts.

20:02:29

Israeli Defense Minister: I believe Israel can seize the opportunity to restore sovereignty in the West Bank

20:01:39

South Africa's budget revenue and expenditure in June changed compared with the previous month

Previous : -101.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 487.50

20:00:22

Preliminary reading of Germany's harmonized CPI monthly rate for July

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : 0.40%

Neutral

Published Value 0.40%

20:00:21

Preliminary value of Germany's harmonized CPI annual rate for July

Previous : 2% Forecast : 1.90%

美元

欧元金银

Published Value 1.80%

20:00:19

Preliminary reading of Germany's CPI monthly rate for July

Previous : 0% Forecast : 0.20%

欧元金银

美元

Published Value 0.30%

20:00:17

The preliminary annual rate of Germany's CPI in July

Previous : 2% Forecast : 1.90%

欧元金银

美元

Published Value 2%

20:00:06

The preliminary annual rate of Germany's CPI in July

Previous : 2% Forecast : 1.90%

欧元金银

美元

Published Value 2%

20:00:06

Preliminary reading of Germany's CPI monthly rate for July

Previous : 0% Forecast : 0.20%

欧元金银

美元

Published Value 0.30%

20:00:05

Preliminary value of Germany's harmonized CPI annual rate for July

Previous : 2% Forecast : 1.90%

美元

欧元金银

Published Value 1.80%

20:00:05

Preliminary reading of Germany's harmonized CPI monthly rate for July

Previous : 0.10% Forecast : 0.40%

Neutral

Published Value 0.40%

20:00:03

Brazil's unemployment rate in June - National Household Sample Survey

Previous : 6.20% Forecast : 6%

Published Value 5.80%

19:59:44

USD/CHF Technical Analysis: The current 60-minute candlestick chart shows a bullish continuation pattern. Since initiating trading at 0.7941, the pair has generally trended above the middle Bollinger Band. After breaking through resistance at 0.8088, it surged to 0.8150 with significant volume, forming a strong upward trend. From a Bollinger Band perspective, the channel has opened, with the upper band at 0.8162, indicating that upside potential remains uncapped. The current candlestick pattern is consolidating near the middle Bollinger Band (0.8120) and holding above support at 0.8110, indicating that bulls remain in control. While the MACD indicator shows signs of a death cross between the DIFF and DEA lines, the MACD histogram is showing signs of a greenish decline, suggesting a lack of effective bearish momentum, possibly indicating technical consolidation within the trend. Analysts suggest that if the pair re-establishes above 0.8135, it could test the previous high of 0.8150 and challenge the upper resistance level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 55.48, in a neutral to bullish range with no clear overbought signals, suggesting further upside potential. Overall, the technical outlook remains bullish, with the market poised for further gains after a short-term period of consolidation.

19:59:24

South Africa's trade balance in June - including regions

Previous : 216.70 Forecast : 251.50

Published Value 220.40

19:59:24

Barclays raised its 2025 eurozone GDP growth forecast to 1.1% from 0.8% previously, and no longer expected the ECB to cut interest rates at its September meeting; it reiterated its expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut in December this year.

19:58:29

PCE is coming! Can USD/CHF break through 0.8150 in one fell swoop? Details>

19:57:26

European Airlines Defy the Trend: Lufthansa and Air France-KLM See Profit Growth, Are Transatlantic Routes a New Growth Engine? ⑴ Despite economic uncertainty, European airlines Lufthansa and Air France-KLM both reported second-quarter profit growth on Thursday. ⑵ Lufthansa's second-quarter operating profit increased 27% year-on-year to €871 million, exceeding analysts' average estimate of €805 million. ⑶ Air France-KLM's second-quarter operating profit rose to €736 million, in line with analysts' expectations. ⑷ Lufthansa CEO Carsten Spohr stated that despite the ongoing geopolitical crisis and economic uncertainty, the company maintains a positive outlook for the full year. ⑸ US airline bookings improved in late June, following a sharp decline in March and April after Trump's tariff rhetoric sparked trade war concerns. ⑹ Despite the profit growth at European airlines, demand stability at US airlines remains weaker than expected at the beginning of the year, and price-sensitive passenger spending remains sluggish. 7. Lufthansa's profit growth was partially driven by its investment in Italy's ITA Airlines, which delivered "unexpectedly large" profits. 8. Bernstein analysts noted that Air France-KLM's sales performance in the North Atlantic significantly outperformed Lufthansa's. 9. Lufthansa's share price rose 0.8%, while Air France-KLM's rose 6.5%, indicating growing market confidence in European airlines. 10. Air France benefited from strong demand to Paris, while KLM continued to grapple with ongoing challenges at Amsterdam Airport.

19:55:16

Kraft Heinz's earnings report beat expectations, but margin and innovation struggles persist? ⑴ Kraft Heinz, the Philadelphia cream cheese maker, reported second-quarter results on Wednesday that exceeded market expectations. ⑵ This was primarily driven by strong demand for its staples and condiments in the US market. ⑶ Amidst rising inflation and economic uncertainty, more consumers are opting to dine at home, providing support for the company. ⑷ Jefferies analysts noted that Kraft Heinz faces inflationary pressures and is less willing than its peers to fully pass on price increases to consumers. Investment portfolio uncertainty also casts a shadow on the outlook. ⑸ Despite some improvement in the second quarter, Jefferies believes the company still faces more short-term headwinds than positives and maintains a "hold" rating with a target price of $28. ⑹ Bernstein analysts stated that Kraft Heinz underinvested in new product development over the past decade but is now on the right track with a focus on innovation. ⑺ Evercore ISI stated that it will closely monitor whether the company's increased marketing and promotional investments can boost domestic retail sales in the second half of the year. ⑻ Piper Sandler expressed caution about the company's ongoing business strategy review, uncertain whether it will effectively address the challenges facing many brands. ⑼ Overall, despite the strong financial performance, Kraft Heinz still faces numerous challenges in terms of profitability, innovation, and strategic transformation.

19:54:55

US Treasury Secretary Benson: Trump's account will make every newborn a shareholder

19:51:53

Treasury Secretary Benson: Democrats' criticism of Social Security is ridiculous

19:51:24

U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson reiterated that it would be extremely unusual for Powell to continue in office

19:51:14

U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: It looks like there's a split within the Federal Reserve

19:49:54

U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: Not sure why not to cut interest rates

19:49:41

Bessant on the Fed: Expect an announcement before the end of the year. I'm putting together a list for Trump, and two seats on the Fed Board will be vacant.

19:48:59

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bensont on the Federal Reserve: We are compiling a very good list of candidates for the Federal Reserve

19:48:54

U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: We are compiling a very good list of candidates for the Federal Reserve and plan to announce the results before the end of the year

19:47:18

Argentina partially increases fuel taxes from August

19:47:03

[Federal Reserve Hawkish Voice: Hopes of a September Rate Cut Are Dashed, Sending Markets into Surge] ⑴ The US dollar swap market opened mixed, with the swap spread curve and the Treasury yield curve showing a bull market flattening trend. ⑵ This market volatility was primarily driven by remarks made by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at the press conference following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which significantly reduced market expectations for a September rate cut. ⑶ Although two FOMC members, Waller and Bowman, dissented from the 25 basis point rate cut, Powell was not forced to signal a September rate cut, stating that the Fed had not yet made a decision on the matter. ⑷ Powell emphasized that the labor market has not weakened and believed that current policy is appropriate given that inflation has not yet reached the Fed's target. ⑸ Money market rates subsequently rose and continued to climb, putting pressure on the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) futures curve. ⑹ In response, on the swap spread side, buying of the 2-year and 3-year swap spreads increased, even though the 2-year and 3-year Treasury yields performed worse than expected. ⑺ Overnight swap volume was light, mainly dominated by repo operations at the far end of the curve by "quick money" and "real money" accounts, which was related to position adjustments before the release of US inflation data. ⑻ The 2-year swap spread was -24.00 basis points, the 3-year was -30.25 basis points, and the 10-year was -53.75 basis points. ⑼ Treasury yields fell slightly, and the yield curve remained compressed after Powell's press conference, as he extinguished market hopes for a September rate cut. ⑽ The mild buying of overnight Treasuries was mainly driven by short covering in preparation for the upcoming release of the core PCE data, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator.

19:46:01

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bensonte: We are witnessing a capital spending boom. Companies have been holding back on capital spending while waiting for the tax law to be introduced.

19:43:27

[Institution: US Stocks' "Super Month" Is Coming to an End, May Face Profit-Taking in August] Market research firm SentimenTrader claims the US stock market is nearing the end of its hottest July on record. The S&P 500 has hit 10 new all-time highs this month (the third-best July since 1928), while the Nasdaq Composite has hit 14. Such "super months" are rare in the summer, and historical data shows that after a similar surge in July, August becomes a difficult month. Historically, when the S&P 500 hits at least seven multi-year highs in July, the probability of an August rise is only 36%, and the probability of a rise in the following two months is less than half. The Nasdaq Composite has shown greater resilience, typically rebounding strongly after four months, but August still feels like a gamble.

19:42:07

my country Establishes First National Standard Verification Site in Water Conservancy: Recently, the National Standard Verification Site (Water Conservancy), recommended by the Ministry of Water Resources, was approved by the Standardization Administration of China (SAC), marking the first national-level standard verification platform in the water conservancy sector. The National Standard Verification Site (Water Conservancy), undertaken by the China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, closely addresses the standard verification needs of international, national, industry, local, group, and enterprise organizations in the water conservancy sector. It brings together resources in scientific research, measurement and testing, inspection and testing, and certification and accreditation, deepens the integration and innovation of resource elements, and establishes a public welfare, market-oriented, industry-university-research-application collaboration and digital service model. The site conducts verification services and standard-related research on water conservancy standard technical requirements, core indicators, testing and inspection methods, and other areas. This aims to improve the scientific nature, rationality, and applicability of water conservancy technical standards and enhance their quality.

19:41:09

Spot platinum just broke through the $1,300.00/ounce mark and was last trading at $1,299.76/ounce, down 5.07% on the day. The main Nymex platinum futures contract was last trading at $1,311.6/ounce, down 4.60% on the day.

19:41:03

U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson: We eliminated many non-tariff trade barriers in the Korea agreement

19:39:53

Crude oil futures are under pressure from tariffs and are at risk of falling to the $60 support level. Details>

19:37:13

US Treasury Secretary Benson: The entire trade team is frustrated with India. I don't know how India will develop.

19:34:46

[German Foreign Minister: The process of recognizing a Palestinian state must begin now] On July 31st, local time, German Foreign Minister Waldful issued a statement before departing for Israel, stating that Germany's process of recognizing a Palestinian state must begin now. Waldful further explained that negotiating a "two-state solution" is a prerequisite for Germany to recognize a Palestinian state. (CCTV)

19:33:08

[Brazil Fiscal Alert! June Budget Deficit Far Exceeds Expectations, Debt Data Continues to Under Pressure] ⑴ Data from the Central Bank of Brazil showed that the country recorded a primary budget deficit of 47.091 billion reais in June. ⑵ This figure was significantly higher than the 40.9 billion reais forecast in a Reuters poll. ⑶ Brazil's overall budget deficit for June reached a staggering 108.107 billion reais. ⑷ For the 12 months ending in June, Brazil's primary budget surplus was equivalent to 0.15% of GDP. ⑸ As of June, Brazil's gross public sector debt accounted for 76.6% of GDP. ⑹ Public sector net debt accounted for 62.9% of GDP, exceeding the 62.4% forecast in a Reuters poll. ⑺ These data indicate that Brazil faces severe fiscal challenges, with a higher-than-expected budget deficit and persistently high debt levels. ⑻ Despite primary budget surpluses over the past 12 months, the widening deficit in a single month may raise market concerns about Brazil's fiscal sustainability. ⑼ Investors need to pay close attention to the Brazilian government’s fiscal consolidation measures and their impact on the economy and market confidence.

19:32:48

US employment data company Challenger: 806,383 layoffs so far in 2025, the most since January-July 2020

19:32:46

[National Energy Administration: 278 million green certificates were issued in June, a month-on-month increase of 29.33%] Data from the National Energy Administration show that 278 million green certificates were issued in June 2025, a month-on-month increase of 29.33%, involving 198,700 renewable energy power generation projects, of which 196 million were tradable green certificates, accounting for 70.64%. In this period, 202 million green certificates corresponding to renewable energy electricity in May 2025 were issued, accounting for 72.70%. From January to June 2025, the National Energy Administration issued a total of 1.371 billion green certificates, of which 958 million were tradable green certificates. In June, 60.91 million green certificates were traded nationwide, of which 10.33 million were green electricity trading certificates. From January to June 2025, 348 million green certificates were traded nationwide, of which 107 million were green electricity trading certificates.

19:31:54

Brazil's net debt as a proportion of GDP in June

Previous : 62% Forecast : 62.40%

Published Value 62.90%

19:31:49

The proportion of Brazil's total debt to GDP in June

Previous : 76.10% Forecast : -

Published Value 76.60%

19:31:29

Brazil's nominal budget balance for June

Previous : -1258.85 Forecast : -

Published Value -1081.07

19:31:25

[European alcohol stocks fall as wine and spirits face 15% tariffs from the United States] The European alcohol sector fell, constrained by the European Union's statement that wine and spirits will face a 15% tariff from the United States from August 1. Pernod Ricard's shares fell 2.5% in the Paris market, and Diageo fell 2.4% in the London market. Both stocks were among the worst performing stocks in the Stoxx 600 Food, Beverage and Tobacco Index on Thursday. Anheuser-Busch InBev's shares fell after second-quarter sales fell short of expectations, also dragging down the index.

19:31:21

Brazil had a basic budget surplus in June

Previous : -337.40 Forecast : -409

Published Value -470.91

19:30:56

The annual rate of layoffs by Challenger companies in the United States in July

Previous : -1.60% Forecast : -

Published Value 139.80%

19:30:26

The monthly rate of layoffs by Challenger companies in the United States in July

Previous : -48.84% Forecast : -

Published Value 29.33%

19:30:03

The number of layoffs by Challenger companies in the United States in July

Previous : 4.80 Forecast : -

Published Value 6.21

19:29:16

ECB Rate Cut Expectations Failed: German 2-Year Bund Yield Hits 3-Month High, Is Market Trend Shifting? ⑴ Money markets pared bets on ECB rate cuts on Thursday, now anticipating no further ECB easing this year. ⑵ Germany's interest-rate-sensitive 2-year Bund yield rose to a 3-month high as a result. ⑶ The market now sees only a 44% probability of a 25 basis point ECB rate cut this year, compared to a near certainty before the US-EU trade deal and ECB meeting were announced a week ago. ⑷ At the meeting, the ECB kept interest rates unchanged and offered a moderately optimistic assessment of the eurozone economy. ⑸ German 2-year Bund yields rose nearly 3 basis points on Thursday, reaching a high of 1.965%, the highest level since early April. ⑹ Rohan Khanna, head of European rates strategy at Barclays, noted that ECB President Christine Lagarde expressed dismissiveness at her press conference about any potential dovish policy shift. ⑺ Inflation data from some of the eurozone's largest economies released Thursday also offered little reason for further rate cuts, with price increases in line with or slightly above expectations, suggesting that the eurozone's overall data, due on Friday, will be close to the ECB's 2% target. ⑻ Although some policymakers had expressed concern last month that inflation could fall significantly below target, necessitating further rate cuts, those concerns now appear unlikely. ⑼ Long-term government bond yields declined slightly, flattening the yield curve. ⑽ The German 10-year bond yield, the eurozone benchmark, fell about 1 basis point to 2.70%, reversing a slight rise the previous day. ⑾ It is now about 73 basis points above the two-year yield, bringing the yield curve to its flattest level in a month. ⑿ Later release of US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation data, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator, may be more important to the market than the European inflation data.

19:29:03

[Uncertainty in the Japan-US Trade Agreement: Could Reducing Japan's Auto Tariffs Take Time?] ⑴ Japan's chief trade negotiator, Ryomasa Akazawa, stated that it may take some time for the US tariffs on Japanese autos to fall to 15%. ⑵ Previously, in the bilateral trade agreement reached in July of this year, the US agreed to reduce "reciprocal" tariffs on goods from both countries, including tariffs on autos, from the current 25% to 15%. ⑶ Akasawa told reporters after a government working group meeting that he expects the US to reduce the "reciprocal" tariffs to 15% starting this Friday (August 1st), in accordance with the bilateral agreement. ⑷ However, he also noted that the reduction in Japan's auto tariffs "may take some time." ⑸ To this end, Tokyo will intensify its calls for President Trump to sign an executive order as soon as possible. ⑹ Japan's auto industry accounts for over a quarter of its exports to the US and is a key engine of the Japanese economy. ⑺ The delay in tariff reductions could pose a challenge to Japan's fragile economic recovery. ⑻ The market will closely monitor subsequent developments to assess their impact on Japan-US trade relations and the Japanese auto industry.

19:27:35

[Ministry of Transport: Promoting Large-Scale Equipment Upgrades and Green, Low-Carbon Transformation in Transportation] On July 31st, the Ministry of Transport held its 2025 semi-annual work conference. The conference emphasized the need to accelerate the development of a comprehensive national transportation network, accelerate the construction of major projects, effectively utilize various financial support policies, serve the implementation of major national strategies, and plan a number of major projects. We must further promote cost reduction, quality improvement, and efficiency enhancement in transportation and logistics, deepen transportation structure adjustment and multimodal transport development, accelerate pilot projects for major domestic transportation and logistics corridors, deepen the integration and development of transportation and logistics with related industries, and promote large-scale equipment upgrades and green, low-carbon transformation in transportation. We must cultivate and strengthen new high-quality productivity in the transportation sector, strengthen major scientific and technological research, vigorously develop smart transportation, and lead industrial innovation through scientific and technological innovation.

19:24:51

Brazil's Finance Minister Haddad: The starting point is better than expected, but we still need to negotiate with the United States

19:21:50

India's federal fiscal deficit in June - local currency INR

Previous : 1316.30 Forecast : -

Published Value 28073.20

19:20:33

Brazil's Finance Minister Haddad: Some measures to counter tariffs will be introduced in the coming days

19:19:45

Trump blasts Powell again, accusing him of being "slow, angry, and stupid." Could his Fed chairmanship be in jeopardy? (1) US President Trump lashed out at Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on social media. (2) Trump bluntly stated that Powell acted "too late" and was "too angry, too stupid, and too political," making him unfit to continue serving as Fed Chairman. (3) He accused Powell of costing the United States "trillions of dollars." (4) Trump also criticized Powell's performance on construction projects as "the most incompetent and corrupt building (group) renovations in the history of architecture." (5) Trump called Powell "Mr. Too Late" and asserted that he was a "total loser" for whom the country is paying the price. (6) This scathing attack further underscored Trump's dissatisfaction with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. (7) Trump has previously publicly criticized the Fed's interest rate hikes, arguing that they have hindered US economic growth. (8) This escalation of his rhetoric suggests continued tensions between Trump and the Federal Reserve and may further fuel market concerns about the Fed's independence.

19:18:53

State Council Executive Meeting: Study and Implement the Spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinping's Important Speech on the Economic Situation in the First Half of the Year and Doing a Good Job in Economic Work in the Second Half of the Year] Li Qiang presided over a State Council Executive Meeting to study and implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinping's important speech on the economic situation in the first half of the year and do a good job in economic work in the second half of the year. The meeting emphasized the need to deeply understand the Party Central Committee's scientific assessment of the economic situation, further strengthen the sense of responsibility and mission in doing a good job in economic work in the second half of the year, bravely shoulder responsibilities, overcome difficulties, and consolidate and expand the positive momentum of economic recovery. We must anchor ourselves to the annual development goals and tasks, step up efforts to enhance the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies, continue to tackle difficult problems, and make greater efforts to implement the decisions and arrangements of the Party Central Committee. We must focus more on stimulating the endogenous driving force of economic development, continue to deepen reforms in key areas, and achieve greater results in building a unified national market and optimizing the business environment. We must better coordinate development and security, firmly adhere to the bottom line of preventing systemic risks, carry out solid flood prevention, emergency rescue and disaster relief work, and more thoroughly and meticulously implement various response measures to fully protect people's lives and property.

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	3363.16	73.24 (2.23%)
XAG	37.003	0.319 (0.87%)
CONC	67.26	-2.00 (-2.89%)
OILC	69.48	-2.30 (-3.20%)
USD	98.678	-1.389 (-1.39%)
EURUSD	1.1594	0.0001 (0.01%)
GBPUSD	1.3282	-0.0001 (-0.00%)
USDCNH	7.1909	-0.0006 (-0.01%)

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