Real-Time Financial News | 24/7 Market Updates

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2026-09-18 Friday

2026-09-22

23:11:51

The yield on French 10-year government bonds rose 14 basis points to 4.582%, on track for its biggest one-day gain since May 15.

23:10:32

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,350.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,349.91/ounce, up 0.19% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,388.40/ounce, down 0.26% on the day.

23:06:26

The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury note reached 4.7475%, a new high since July 2024.

23:04:18

California Governor Gavin Newsom: I just signed an executive order to significantly accelerate independent oversight of artificial intelligence companies and push for the creation of an "AI kill switch." With Trump and Congress failing to provide leadership, California is taking action to ensure the safety of all Americans.

23:01:49

[Night Trading Futures Closing] Pulp rose 2.84% for the second consecutive day, ethylene glycol rose 2.45% for the second consecutive day, rapeseed meal fell 2.09% for the second consecutive day, asphalt rose 1.53% for the second consecutive day, and soybean meal fell 1.49% for the second consecutive day.

23:01:34

Amazon is under investigation by the European Union for allegedly imposing price controls on sellers.

23:01:33

Colombia's economic activity grew 1.11% year-on-year in July; the forecast was for 1.7% growth.

22:59:44

According to the official EU gazette, the EU plans to impose temporary safeguard tariffs on imported electrical steel.

22:59:07

International Atomic Energy Agency: Cooling towers of reactor units at Kursk nuclear power plant attacked by drones.

22:58:05

The U.S. Geological Survey reports a 5.2-magnitude earthquake 189 kilometers south-southwest of Perabhanratu, Indonesia.

22:56:43

Amazon Web Services (AWS) and SAP have signed a five-year strategic partnership agreement to expand SAP's business AI platform to seven new Amazon Web Services regions.

22:55:11

US President Trump: I can't stand CNN, it's failing and extremely dishonest. Everything they say is biased against the Republican Party. They really are "fake news"! Luckily, very few people watch their shows!

22:52:52

Putin said that Russia's arms export order backlog exceeds $70 billion.

22:52:10

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $97.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $96.98/barrel, down 0.26% on the day.

22:51:20

The US dollar has just broken through the 157.00 level against the Japanese yen, currently trading at 156.98, up 0.66% on the day; the euro has just broken through the 180.00 level against the Japanese yen, currently trading at 179.98, up 0.56% on the day.

22:50:40

The pound sterling has just touched the 210.00 level against the yen, currently trading at 210.00, up 0.81% on the day.

22:48:02

Market news: Pakistan's Interior Minister will travel to Iran in the coming hours to discuss the impact of the Houthi escalation on regional security.

22:45:58

[EU's First Large-Scale Carbon Storage Facility Launched in Denmark] Denmark launched the "Green Sands" carbon capture and storage facility in the North Sea on the 18th, injecting carbon dioxide into seabed reservoirs. As the first large-scale carbon dioxide storage project in the EU, "Green Sands" is expected to store 400,000 tons of carbon dioxide annually in its first phase. INEOS, the company leading the project, stated in a press release on its website that the carbon dioxide will be stored on the seabed below the abandoned Niniwest oil field, approximately 250 kilometers off the west coast of Denmark, at a depth of about 1,800 meters below the seabed. In its first phase of commercial operation, the "Green Sands" project can store up to 400,000 tons of carbon dioxide annually. With increasing demand, the storage capacity is planned to expand to 4 to 8 million tons per year by 2030. (Xinhua)

22:44:42

[Russia Urges Japan to Withdraw Typhon Missile System] Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova published a commentary on the ministry's website on the 18th, stating that Russia demands Japan withdraw the US-made Typhon intermediate-range missile system deployed in Japan. Zakharova stated that Russia had issued a protest note to Japan on the 3rd regarding the deployment of the Typhon system. Regardless of Japan's pretext, deployment period, or method, it must not deploy this missile system on its own territory's frontier. Furthermore, the Japanese government must fully recognize the results of World War II, including the territorial dispute over the Southern Kuril Islands (known as the Northern Territories in Japan), and abandon its remilitarization policy. (Xinhua)

22:42:51

The African Union has appointed Fatala Sigirmasi as a G20 special envoy.

22:40:45

Sinbaum said he communicates daily with the automotive, steel, and aluminum industries.

22:40:45

Mexican President Simbaum: We are doing everything we can to reach an agreement as soon as possible, within the framework of our sovereignty.

22:40:44

Sinbaum: We respect Canada’s decision to seek cooperation with the EU.

22:40:43

Sinbaum: Despite ongoing bilateral negotiations, we still hope that the USMCA will remain in effect.

22:34:51

[ECB Officials Pave the Way for Further Rate Hikes, Possible Action as Early as October] European Central Bank (ECB) officials are preparing for further monetary tightening, hinting at possible action as early as October to combat mounting inflationary pressures. With prices in the 21-nation eurozone rapidly approaching 4% and the economy performing better than expected, policymakers are arguing that interest rates need to continue rising. The ECB has already raised rates twice since the Iran war drove up energy costs and is currently the most hawkish central bank among the G7 economies. Data released on Friday highlighted this challenge: in August, household expectations for inflation rose across all maturities tracked by the ECB. While wage demands and other factors have not yet reacted significantly to rising oil and gas prices, officials are advocating for precautionary measures to prevent inflation from taking hold.

22:34:19

The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 4.743%, the highest level since July 2024.

22:33:12

[Britain Wants to Join "Made in EU" Initiative] British Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healy traveled to Ireland on the 18th to meet with economic and finance ministers from EU member states to discuss how to deepen economic and security cooperation between Britain and the EU. According to British media reports, Healy will use this opportunity to urge the EU to include Britain in its "Made in EU" policy, giving the UK similar treatment to that of an "insider." (Xinhua)

22:24:47

[Russia Expands Entry Ban List in Response to EU's 21st Round of Sanctions] The Russian Foreign Ministry announced on September 18 that it has expanded the list of Europeans banned from entering Russia in response to the EU's 21st round of sanctions adopted on July 23. The announcement stated that these individuals were involved in decisions regarding military aid to Ukraine, undermining Russia's territorial integrity, damaging Russia's relations with third countries, obstructing Russian maritime transport, persecuting Russian citizens, establishing so-called anti-Russian legal mechanisms, and advocating for the illegal confiscation of Russian state assets or the use of their proceeds. The list also includes members of the European Parliament and parliaments of EU member states who voted in favor of anti-Russian resolutions and legislation, as well as activists and academic representatives holding hostile positions. The announcement noted that the EU continues to implement unilateral sanctions that violate international law, therefore Russia continues to respond appropriately. (CCTV News)

22:20:58

Spot silver just touched the $66.00/ounce mark and is currently trading at $66.00/ounce, up 1.23% on the day; COMEX silver futures are currently trading at $66.55/ounce, up 0.69% on the day.

22:18:27

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $98.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $98.01/barrel, up 0.80% on the day.

22:16:28

[National Construction Machinery Average Operating Rate Rises 0.41 Percentage Points Month-on-Month in August] According to the latest data, in August, various infrastructure projects in China progressed steadily, with the operating rates of concrete and hoisting equipment continuing to rise. The port equipment market remained hot, with the operating rates of forklifts and reach stackers showing rapid growth. Specifically, the national average operating rate of construction machinery rose 0.41 percentage points month-on-month. The top ten provinces in terms of overall operating rate are: Ningxia, Hainan, Xinjiang, Anhui, Guangdong, Qinghai, Fujian, Zhejiang, Sichuan, and Guizhou. In August, the operating rate of port equipment rose 1.26 percentage points month-on-month and 12.42 percentage points year-on-year, with both major coastal hub ports and western inland ports experiencing peak operating periods. (CCTV Finance)

22:14:28

The Central Bank of Pakistan issued 17.7 billion rupees of 2-year Pakistan Investment Bonds with a yield of 12.4%.

22:14:08

Market news: The German government has reached an agreement on a cap on fuel prices.

22:13:13

Lukoil's daily oil and gas production in Russia during the first half of the year was 1.722 million barrels of oil equivalent.

22:13:02

Google: Nobel laureates Philippe Agion and Ajay Agrawal join the team, strengthening its artificial intelligence and economics team.

22:09:06

Fitch Ratings: Mongolia faces fiscal challenges in capitalizing on the mining boom.

22:08:47

The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose over 1%, NXTT rose 9.76%, Haichuan Securities rose 6.71%, Alibaba rose 4.55%, Kingsoft Cloud rose 4.32%, and Bilibili rose 4.20%.

22:07:56

The Nasdaq Composite Index has just broken through the 26,400.00 mark and is currently trading at 26,399.03, down 0.07% on the day.

22:04:17

The German government plans to cap gasoline prices based on oil prices.

22:04:16

Market news: The German government plans to reduce the fuel tax on gasoline by 14 euro cents per liter.

22:04:15

The German government's fuel cost relief plan is still pending consultation with the state governors.

22:03:36

US August Conference Board Lagging Index (MoM)

Previous : 0.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.20

22:03:28

US August Conference Board Coincident Economic Index (MoM)

Previous : 0.20 Forecast : -

Published Value 0.10

22:03:21

The U.S. leading index fell 0.1% month-over-month in August; an expected increase of 0.1% was anticipated. The previous reading was 0.20%.

22:03:13

US Conference Board Leading Index, August

Previous : 99.50 Forecast : -

Published Value 99.50

22:01:38

US August Conference Board Leading Economic Index (MoM)

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.10%

Gold, Silver, Oil

US Dollar

Published Value -0.10%

22:00:29

According to the German newspaper Bild, the German government plans to reduce the fuel tax on gasoline by 14 euro cents per liter.

21:59:48

The ECB's December rate hike has been described as a "temporary move," and is the 2.75% rate truly untenable? Details>

21:59:19

The yield on French 10-year government bonds rose 11 basis points to 4.56%, the highest level since 2008.

21:54:34

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 51,600.00 mark, currently trading at 51,597.96, down 0.35% on the day.

21:54:04

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,350.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,349.83/ounce, up 0.19% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,388.30/ounce, down 0.26% on the day.

21:53:44

Spot platinum has just broken through the $1790.00/oz mark, last trading at $1789.41/oz, up 0.97% on the day; Nymex platinum futures main contract was last trading at $1794.2/oz, down 0.01% on the day.

21:53:06

Malaysian Securities Commission Chairman: Listed companies will be required to disclose their preparations for dealing with El Niño.

21:50:45

[US Treasury Real Yields Soar, Gold Significantly Decouples from Its Traditional Correlation] ⑴ The 10-year US real yield has risen to approximately 2.7%, the highest since the 2008 financial crisis. ⑵ Historically, rising real yields have typically been a major headwind for gold, as inflation-adjusted US Treasury returns are more attractive. ⑶ However, since 2022, gold has shown a significant divergence from real yields, with the current gold price around $4,380 per ounce. ⑷ This relationship shifted after the freezing of Russian reserves in 2022, with central banks increasingly turning to gold as a reserve asset. ⑸ Gold is perceived as less reliant on other countries' balance sheets, increasing its attractiveness as a reserve asset. ⑹ Even with a significant increase in the real borrowing costs of US debt since then, gold prices have continued to rise. ⑺ From a market sentiment perspective, geopolitical factors and the need for reserve diversification are increasingly offsetting the traditional pressure from high real yields. ⑻ For many global central banks, gold has become a more important reserve asset than US Treasury bonds. (9) The subsequent focus should be on the interplay between the central bank's gold purchase pace and the path of real interest rates, as these two factors will determine whether this decoupling can continue. (10) Overall, the pricing logic for gold is shifting from being solely driven by interest rates to a combination of reserve and geopolitical factors.

21:48:52

Why is the yen still so weak despite interest rates reaching a 31-year high? Details>

21:47:46

[ING Adjusts Forecasts, Expects One Rate Hike Each from the Fed and ECB Before Year-End] ⑴ ING now expects the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank to each raise interest rates once before the end of this year. ⑵ This assessment differs from previous forecasts of maintaining unchanged interest rates. ⑶ The firm's economists noted in a report that Wednesday's Fed meeting and last week's ECB meeting indicated that the two central banks are unlikely to adopt the previously anticipated very accommodative policies. ⑷ They believe that both central banks are currently facing supply-side shocks caused by soaring energy prices, although the impact on the overall economy remains limited. ⑸ At the same time, the market still remembers the lessons of the sharp rise in inflation and the lagging monetary policy response in 2022. ⑹ Economists expect both central banks to likely raise interest rates in December. ⑺ From a market sentiment perspective, renewed expectations of rate hikes will support the local currency and suppress the bond market, but the growth prospects under the energy shock remain uncertain. ⑻ Subsequent attention should be paid to inflation data and statements from central bank officials to verify the probability of action in December. ⑼ Overall, the policy path is shifting from expectations of easing to cautious tightening.

21:46:09

[French Credit Risk Indicators Rise, Intensifying Pressure on Bond Market] ⑴ The French 5-year credit default swap (CDS) rate rose to 41.5 basis points, the highest since April 2025. ⑵ The yield on French 10-year government bonds rose 10 basis points to 4.545%. ⑶ The simultaneous rise in CDS and yields indicates increasing market concerns about France's fiscal outlook. ⑷ From a market sentiment perspective, investors are demanding higher risk compensation; the Franco-German interest rate spread has already exceeded 100 basis points. ⑸ Failure to meet deficit targets and an unclear path for fiscal consolidation are the core factors driving this round of repricing. ⑹ Going forward, attention should be paid to statements from rating agencies and details of the autumn budget; without credible measures, the pressure may continue. ⑺ Overall, French assets are facing a dual test of fiscal credibility and financing costs.

21:44:49

Gold and silver continued their rebound: oil prices and yields fell after the Fed raised interest rates. Details>

21:37:15

[US Manufacturing Output Unexpectedly Declines 0.3% in August] ⑴ US manufacturing output unexpectedly declined in August as manufacturers faced rising input costs and a slowdown in equipment production. ⑵ Data showed that manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August. The median forecast from economists surveyed was for a 0.3% increase. ⑶ Overall industrial output, including mining and utilities, stagnated. Utilities output rose 1.8%, while mining output saw a slight increase.

21:36:53

The French 5-year credit default swap (CDS) surged to 41.5 basis points, its highest level since April 2025.

21:36:38

ECB Governing Council member Sleipön: Central banks must be ready to take necessary actions at any time.

21:36:33

Federal Reserve Governor Bowman did not comment on the economic or monetary policy outlook.

21:36:26

Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: Federal Reserve regulators failed to act promptly and decisively to require Silicon Valley Bank to reduce its risk exposure.

21:36:22

The yield on UK 2-year government bonds rose 10 basis points to 4.84%.

21:36:13

Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that the Fed will finalize its reform plan "in the coming weeks" to improve the transparency and accountability of bank stress tests. The adjustments will make stress tests more reliable and reduce volatility in bank capital requirements. The revised stress tests will provide detailed information on the test models and scenario settings. The Fed will use the average of a bank's two most recent stress test results when determining a bank's "stress capital buffer." The Fed expects to finalize revisions to the Basel III banking capital rules and adjustments to the GSIB surcharge for global systemically important banks by the end of this year. The Fed plans to expand the use of stress tests to provide internal reference information on bank risk to Fed regulators.

21:35:49

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Poman: The “risk-averse culture” among Federal Reserve regulators has led to a regulatory vacuum, and the unclear definition of decision-making authority has further exacerbated this problem.

21:35:38

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Bowman: Federal Reserve regulators should have recognized the vulnerability of Silicon Valley Bank as early as March 2022, more than a year before the bank collapsed.

21:35:24

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Bowman: The Federal Reserve plans to expand the use of stress tests to inform U.S. central bank regulators about bank risk conditions in a non-public manner.

21:35:05

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Poman: The Federal Reserve is expected to finalize the Basel Banking Capital Rules and the revised capital requirements for Global Systemically Important Banks (GSIBs) by the end of this year.

21:34:52

Spot gold has just broken through the $4,360.00/ounce mark, and is currently trading at $4,359.87/ounce, up 0.42% on the day; COMEX gold futures are currently trading at $4,398.60/ounce, down 0.03% on the day.

21:34:44

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Bowman: Federal Reserve regulators failed to take timely and decisive action, requiring Silicon Valley Bank to reduce its risk exposure.

21:34:30

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Poman: The adjustments will make stress tests more reliable and reduce volatility in bank capital requirements.

21:34:21

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Poman: The Fed will finalize reforms in the "coming weeks" to make bank stress tests more transparent and accountable.

21:33:55

[US Stock Market Opening] ⑴ The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.11%, the S&P 500 rose 0.13%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.38%. ⑵ Robinhood rose 4.27%, Lumentum Holdings Inc. rose 3.72%, Coherent Corp. rose 3.55%, Netflix fell 6.71%, and International Paper fell 3.23%. ⑶ Among the "Seven Sisters" stocks: Google rose 2.32%, Tesla rose 1.07%, Meta Platforms rose 0.87%, Amazon rose 0.70%, Apple rose 0.30%, Microsoft fell 0.24%, and Nvidia fell 0.34%.

21:32:53

[Iraq Returns Restricted Airspace in the West to Civilian Authorities] ⑴ The Iraqi Ministry of Transportation stated in a statement on Friday that the country has returned restricted airspace in the west to its civil authorities, ending restrictions imposed since 2016 for military operations. ⑵ The ministry stated that all previously reserved areas stretching across western Iraq from north to south have been handed over to agencies responsible for airports and air navigation for civilian use. ⑶ This move is expected to provide Iraqi aviation authorities with more space to reroute flight routes, ease restrictions on aircraft flights, and improve airspace utilization efficiency.

21:31:58

Federal Reserve Chairman Bowman: The revised stress test will provide detailed information on the test model and scenarios.

21:31:26

Sources say the Federal Reserve will consider final revisions to the stress tests in the coming weeks.

21:30:48

[Nobel Foundation Announces Increase in 2026 Nobel Prize Money] On September 18th local time, the Nobel Foundation decided to increase the prize money for each Nobel Prize in 2026 by 1 million Swedish kronor (approximately 680,000 yuan), reaching 12 million Swedish kronor (approximately 8.15 million yuan). The Nobel Prizes for this year will be announced from October 5th to 12th. (CCTV)

21:30:12

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just broken through the 51,700.00 mark, currently trading at 51,703.31, down 0.14% on the day.

21:30:11

[Saudi Aramco Notifies European Refining Customers No Crude Oil Allocation Next Month] ⑴ Saudi Aramco has notified at least two European refining customers that it will not allocate any crude oil to them next month, according to sources familiar with the matter. ⑵ European customers typically obtain Saudi crude oil through so-called periodic contracts, ensuring a stable monthly supply. Sources indicate that this crude oil will not be delivered next month. They stated that this decision applies to all European buyers. ⑶ Saudi Aramco did not immediately respond to requests for comment. ⑷ Saudi Arabia was forced to shut down its east-west pipeline last week following a drone attack. Sources indicate that the pipeline is expected to partially resume operation within days and fully resume operation within six weeks. ⑸ European refineries typically receive Saudi crude oil from the Egyptian Mediterranean port of Sidi Kirill. The pipeline shutdown has triggered panic buying among some of Saudi Aramco's customers. Poland's Orlen SA has issued more than a dozen tenders since Friday in an attempt to secure alternative supplies. (6) The International Energy Agency stated in its monthly Oil Market Report that in June, European countries in the OECD imported 577,000 barrels of crude oil per day from Saudi Arabia.

21:24:59

US August Industrial Production Annual Rate - Seasonally Adjusted

Previous : 1.08% Forecast : -

Published Value 1.42%

21:24:39

[US Industrial Capacity Utilization Remains Stable at 76.3% in August, a One-Year High] ⑴ In August 2026, the US industrial capacity utilization rate remained unchanged from the previous month at 76.3%, the highest in a year, but slightly below market expectations of 76.4%. ⑵ Despite improved momentum since the beginning of the year, the result is still well below the long-term average of 79.4%. ⑶ Manufacturing capacity utilization rose from 75.9% in July to 76%, driven by continued surges in utilization rates for computers and electronics (from 76.2% to 77.2%) and electrical equipment (from 85.5% to 86.6%), consistent with a surge in capital expenditures on artificial intelligence infrastructure and computing power. ⑷ Meanwhile, utilization in non-durable manufacturing fell from 76% to 75.6%.

21:24:27

[US Industrial Production Flat in August, Below Expectations] ⑴ US industrial production was flat in August, compared with a 0.2% increase in July, below the market expectation of a 0.3% increase. ⑵ Manufacturing output, which accounts for about 78% of total industrial output, fell 0.3%, ending seven consecutive months of growth. ⑶ Mining activity rose slightly by 0.1%, while utility output increased by 1.8%. The utility growth was mainly driven by strong electricity production, which outpaced the decline in natural gas utilities. ⑷ Capacity utilization was 76.3%, unchanged, still 3.1 percentage points below the long-term average from 1972 to 2025.

21:23:40

Argentina's primary budget surplus in August was 1.99 trillion Argentine pesos.

21:22:26

Gold stuck below the $4400 mark: Who is repricing the discount rate after the Fed's rate hike? Details>

21:16:57

US manufacturing capacity utilization rate in August

Previous : 76 Forecast : -

Published Value 75.70

21:15:09

US industrial production month-on-month in August

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.30%

Gold, Silver, Oil

US Dollar

Published Value 0%

21:15:09

US capacity utilization rate in August

Previous : 76.30% Forecast : 76.40%

Published Value 76.30%

21:15:08

US manufacturing output in August (month-on-month)

Previous : 0.20% Forecast : 0.30%

Published Value -0.30%

21:13:40

China's INE crude oil futures main contract has just broken through the 750.0 yuan/barrel mark, and is currently trading at 750.1 yuan/barrel, down 0.57% on the day.

21:12:30

Shanghai fuel oil futures have just broken through the 4,300 yuan/ton mark, currently trading at 4,302 yuan/ton, up 1.01% on the day.

21:05:23

Türkiye's central bank sold $5 billion in foreign exchange on Wednesday as fund-driven selling pressure weighed on the stock market.

21:05:15

U.S. Geological Survey: A 6.5-magnitude earthquake struck 169 kilometers west of Nikolsky, Alaska.

21:04:29

[Few Fixed Energy Contracts in the UK, Locking in Prices Could Save Hundreds of Pounds] ⑴ Energy price caps will increase by about 4% from October 1st, and currently only 7 fixed-rate contracts are below this new cap. ⑵ However, compared to the cap forecast for January next year, the savings from locking in contracts are much more significant. ⑶ The average weekly forecast from multiple suppliers shows that the cap for January next year may rise from £1723 to about £2152, an increase of nearly 25%. ⑷ UK Gas, EDF Energy, and Eon Next's forecasts are approximately £2160, £2165, and £2131 respectively. ⑸ Price caps are set by regulators every three months and are influenced by the wholesale energy market, fluctuating sharply in the past six months due to the Middle East conflict. ⑹ It should be noted that neither price caps nor fixed contracts limit the total bill, only setting a maximum charge per unit of energy. ⑺ If consumption is above or below average, the actual bill will differ from the annual quoted amount. ⑻ Although contracts below the October cap are rare, the 10 cheapest contracts currently available are all significantly lower than the forecast for January next year. (9) Some of these contracts have average annual bills of around £1,646 to £1,680, about £440 to £510 lower than the January forecast. (10) In addition to potential savings, fixed-price contracts provide certainty for winter heating expenses when fuel prices rise. (11) Analysts point out that even if the conflict ends, low pre-winter inventories coupled with rising demand make a decline in January bills unlikely. (12) Regulators will announce the January cap at the end of November; smaller suppliers typically offer lower prices, while larger suppliers often appear on the list.

21:02:32

Next Week's Hot Topics Preview: Central Bank Officials from Multiple Countries Speak Out in Succession Details>

21:02:08

Brent crude oil futures, the most active contract, just broke through the $104.00/barrel mark and was last quoted at $104.04/barrel, down 0.02% on the day.

21:02:00

September 18th US Market Update: Support and Resistance Levels for 18 Commodities (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, and 10 Currency Pairs) Details>

21:00:18

Nymex crude oil futures for the most active contract have just broken through the $97.00/barrel mark, currently trading at $97.01/barrel, down 0.23% on the day.

20:55:20

[G10 Currency Market Volatility Remains Low, Yen Intervention Risk Rekindles] ⑴ The foreign exchange options market remains in a wait-and-see mode following the Fed's decision, with implied volatility for most G10 currencies hovering at long-term lows. ⑵ The lack of actual volatility and directional bias continues to suppress option premiums, despite ongoing concerns about Middle East conflict and oil price inflation. ⑶ The euro/dollar and pound sterling movements are particularly stagnant, while the yen presents a different picture. ⑷ The euro/dollar implied volatility was already near long-term lows before the Fed's decision, with the 1-month benchmark now testing post-pandemic lows. ⑸ Risk reversal data shows that the downside and upside option premiums are only 0.2, lower than 0.45 in early September and 0.9 at the end of July, reflecting a lack of confidence in a deep decline. ⑹ The pound sterling trend is more pronounced, with euro/pound sterling implied volatility at its lowest level since the euro's inception in 1999. ⑺ The pound/dollar 1-month volatility is testing the 12-year low reached in mid-August. (8) The yen remained an exception, with overnight options covering Friday's Bank of Japan decision rising to their highest level in a year, indicating potential for significant volatility. (9) The Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% as expected, but the 7-2 split vote and a less hawkish press conference pushed the USD/JPY exchange rate up by more than 2 points to 158.06. (10) Subsequently, implied volatility plummeted as event risk premiums were priced in and downside hedging was unwound, with the one-week implied volatility of USD/JPY falling by more than 2.0. (11) The overall message remains unchanged, with low actual volatility and a familiar trading range continuing to suppress implied volatility. (12) The key risk to this calm lies in further increases in oil prices and USD/JPY approaching 160 again, which could quickly escalate the threat of intervention.

20:54:56

[Deutsche Bank: UK Fiscal Space Significantly Narrowed Ahead of Autumn Budget] ⑴ In a report, Deutsche Bank's Raja and Brennan pointed out that Chancellor of the Exchequer Healy's available fiscal flexibility will be significantly reduced before the autumn budget is released. ⑵ They estimate that current fiscal space is only slightly above £8.5 billion, less than half the level reported in the spring fiscal report. ⑶ Space under the secondary debt rule has fallen to £17.2 billion. ⑷ Economists say that higher-than-expected interest rates will increase government debt interest costs by approximately £13 billion by fiscal year 2030-2031. ⑸ Higher inflation due to the energy shock will also increase fiscal financing needs by approximately £2 billion. ⑹ Reduced immigration will compress the working-age population and tax base, potentially pushing up financing needs by another approximately £2 billion. ⑺ From a market sentiment perspective, the thinning fiscal buffer means that UK government bonds and the pound will be more sensitive to any signals of tax increases or spending cuts before the budget is announced. ⑻ The latest forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility and the government's trade-offs under the debt rule should be closely monitored. (9) Overall, the combination of multiple pressures has made the autumn budget face a more severe balancing challenge.

17

Real-Time Popular Commodities

Instrument	Current Price	Change
XAU	4363.43	19.91 (0.46%)
XAG	66.357	0.353 (0.53%)
CONC	92.06	-0.31 (-0.34%)
OILC	100.03	-3.16 (-3.07%)
USD	100.410	0.000 (0.00%)
EURUSD	1.1464	0.0002 (0.01%)
GBPUSD	1.3370	0.0004 (0.03%)
USDCNH	6.6928	0.0003 (0.00%)

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